The news as of late has simply been dominated by the spectre of the impeding SSPX consecrations in July. I have hitherto avoided any discussion of the matter, as I don't follow SSPX news nor do I have any history with the Society, for good or ill. I came to Tradition apart from them and have never found them to be an integral part of my own spiritual journey. And I certainly do not view them as an escape hatch in case things get bad enough, nor do I see them as standard-bearers of the Trad movement, so I don't feel that invested in whatever happens in July.
Nevertheless, I do realize this is important for many and several people have asked my opinion, so I thought it might be wise to get my thoughts out—although, I should warn you, this is far from systematic, which has compelled me to present my thoughts rather as a miscellany of theses rather than a single comprehensive "argument" (so as you read, keep in mind I am making no single argument, but rather throwing out discussion points).
Here follows my thoughts, such as they are at this time:
1. It is fully possible for both Rome and the SSPX to be at fault. Both sides could have acted or be acting in bad faith. That is, in fact, what I think. Both sides are culpable for where we are at today.
2. There is a difference between consecrating bishops without papal permission and consecrating bishops against an explicit papal directive. These things are not equivalent and it is frustrating that this point is generally ignored.
3. I have never attended an SSPX chapel, nor were they formative in my life in any sense. That being said, I have known many persons from the Society; I have taught many children from Society families, and they are often the kindest, brightest children I have the privilege to teach. If anything makes me sympathize with the SSPX, it is my experience with these good people.
4. But what ultimately diminishes my sympathy for them is reading the actual public statements of the SSPX. In fact, I have never seen any public statement of the Society that actually increased my sympathy for them, and in my opinion, all of Pagliarani's comments of late have been destructive and regrettable, unnecessarily combative, serving essentially to confirm many of the worst stereotypes repeated by the Society's opponents.
5. Speaking of opponents: there are opponents of the Society who devote all their time to refuting, attacking, and opposing the SSPX, as if this is the singular most important issue facing the Church. Every post, every article, every comment is some dig at the Society. I am incredibly irritated by these people and their obsession with this subject. I find them the singularly most pretentious and annoying faction in this discussion.
6. A major problem is that Rome has insisted that the SSPX must "accept the Second Vatican Council" but for thirty years refused to elaborate on exactly what that means—what specific propositions must be accepted? Unless this is defined, reconciliation on the basis of "accepting" Vatican II is chimerical.
7. Those who say that this is unnecessary because it is already perfectly clear what "accepting Vatican II" means without need of any further clarification or discussion are either daft or arguing in bad faith.
8. On the other hand, when Cardinal Fernández finally proposed discussions to clarify "the minimum requirements necessary for full communion with the Catholic Church" back in February and Pagliarani shit on it without even hearing what Fernández wanted to discuss, this was in my opinion, a fumble on Pagliarani's part. It also made it clear to me that the SSPX is not actually interested in reconciliation. Pagliarini said the dealbreaker was Fernández's statement that the documents of Vatican II could not be amended. This demonstrates that, from the Society's perspective, it's Rome that needs to be "regularized," not them. It is, of course true, that Rome is in a sorry state and has been for some time, but that notwithstanding, negotiating with Rome from the assumption that Rome must change first is incredible hubris.
9. The Society, too, has a fundamentally undefinable goal: when has Rome "converted" enough to justify reunion? Where is the goal post for what Rome must do to "come back to Tradition"?
10. On Facebook I hypothesized that Rome would not issue any new excommunications against the Society for the impending consecrations. In light of Fr. Pagliarani's letter to Cardinal Fernandez, I am not so sure anymore. Reading this letter, I could not help concluding that this man wants to sabotage the discussion.
11. If Rome does not take action, it is not because "the Society is too big" or any such nonsense. It will be because Leo decides some other response is better suited. The initiave on what will or will not be done in response to these consecrations will be entirely with Rome, because of Rome's reasons, on Rome's timetable.
12. The SSPX does not have the leverage people think they do; in fact, they have none. That they are the biggest traditionalist group is irrelevant. When traditional movements, bishops, orders, etc. who enjoy regular canonical status are still run over roughshod, why would an irregular organization think it has any clout? The Society has zero leverage.
14. Pope Leo recently stood shoulder to shoulder with representatives of schismatic churches, celebrated vespers together, and proclaimed "We are one! We already are!" Among these schismatics to whom the pope spoke were the Armenian Apostolic Orthodox, who are non-Chalcedonian and don't even accept the two natures of Christ. If such a generous and accomodating attitude can be shown to schismatics who literally reject one of the seven ancient councils, there is absolutely room for a very generous attitude towards the Society at every level of the Church—even if we granted the Society is in schism. Even if you disagree with the Society, why can we not adopt the attitude modeled by Leo in his meeting with other Christian schismatics, whose schisms are much bigger, older, and graver? Would you be willing to stand with the SSPX and say "We are one! We already are!" If you aren't, then either you are off or Rome is.
15. Despite the opinions of anti-Society apologists, it is clear that Rome views communion on a spectrum. It considers full communion something that is progressively journeyed towards, not something either possesses or does not possess in a binary fashion; the phrase "full communion" really only makes sense if communion is being considered on a spectrum. Setting aside the question of whether this comports to traditional ecclesiology (it doesn't), I find it incontestable that this is how Rome views the matter today, especially if you examine the totality of Rome's statements with regards to other Christian sects, non-Christian religions, etc. Opponents of the Society who stubbornly insist on a binary view of this question ("You're either in or you're out and since you're irregular you're out") are working from an ecclesiological paradigm that Rome itself is not applying.
16. The Society's attitude that it will not seek regularization until Rome "renounces its errors" is utterly delusional. Even more delusional is the notion that Lefebvre will ever be canonized.
17. One thing that is plainly clear from looking at the history is that schism does not necessarily entail denial that an authority exists. The SSPX argument that they are not in schism because they have not denied the legitimate authority within the Church is a weak argument that creates a definition of schism so narrow that virtually no one other than Sedevacantists would fit it. It is not necessary that the SSPX (or any group) deny the existence of a legitimate authority to be in schism—it is enough to disobey that authority whilst maintaing a distinct and autonomous authority, even if one continues to admit the existence of the legitimate authority. The argument that the Society cannot be in schism because they claim to be in communion with the pope and remember him in their prayers is nonsense. Mind you, I am not saying they are in schism, only saying that that their professions of loyalty to the pope do not prove that they aren't. As much as I love Athanasius Schneider I find his argument that future consecrations will not be schismatic semantic and unconvincing, akin to a wife caught in adultery denying she's an adulteress because she "didn't mean" to cheat.
20. Even less could the "state of the necessity" be the need to provide for the continued existence of the SSPX. I am not aware of a single incident in the entire history of the Church where the propagation of a particular order or institution within the Church was licitly invoked as justification for such prolonged and grave violation of canonical norms.
21. If, on the other hand, you really do think Holy Orders are literally in danger of extinction except for the SSPX, then it's difficult to see in what sense you don't believe that the Church has defected, which resolves into an argument that the SSPX represents the rump of the "true Church" and the Church in Rome led by Pope Leo is, quite literally, some kind of false Church, a position that I find completely untenable.
30. I have never believed that we "owe" the preservation of the Traditional Latin Mass to the SSPX, There were other groups and individual dedicated to preserving the old Mass besides the Society, even before 1988.
31. Nor do I believe the future of the Traditional Latin Mass is with the Society, their numerical growth notwithstanding. All of the most important intellectual, scholarly, and ecclesial developments in Traditionalism have occurred outside the Society. Most Catholics discover Traditionalism through diocesan TLMs and ecclesia dei groups, using resources and content created by persons representing the same. Intellectually speaking, the SSPX is actually the most inert and stultified quadrant of Traditionalism. They may have been the standard-bearers of the movement at one time, but those days are long gone.
34. Sometimes we Trads can act as though absolutely anything is justified in the name of Tradition. I cannot accept this premise. I cannot believe that anything is justified if it supports the Tradition. Pitting the Church against its own Tradition was probably the most successful strategy Satan ever unleased upon the Church, as we cannot have one without the other, and forcing us to choose only ensures that everybody loses. The Tradition can only survive in the soil of the institutional Church within which it emerged; and the Church will remain a barren garden unless it clings to its Tradition. I refuse to accept the premise that an institutional break is necessary to remain faithful to Tradition, nor can I accept sleight-of-hand attempts to recontextualize a break as something other than what it is—but neither will I accept that the Church's autodemolition of its own Tradition is anything other than an unfathomable catastrophe that must needs be rejected with all possible vigor. Do I know how to reconcile all these things? No. Do I need to know how to reconcile them? Also no. And that's okay.

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